The Mets only trail the Dodgers and Padres in the NL in winning percentage. One of them - the Yankees - is probably the best team in baseball at this particular moment. Angels, three games in Minute Maid ParkĮntering today’s action, those three clubs above have a combined.Yankees, one game in Minute Maid Park (thank you, baseball owners, for pushing back the start of the season).After all, the Astros will probably appreciate this part of the schedule, considering who they play from June 21 through July 3. While none of these clubs are at the same level as, say, the Reds, Pirates, or Nationals, they do represent, in theory, a softer portion of the schedule for Houston. The home and road split is exactly even at 12 games apiece, with a nine-game road trip through Seattle, Oakland, and Kansas City in the mix. Only one club - the White Sox - possesses a winning record entering today at 21-20. The Astros play 24 games against clubs for roughly a month with a combined. White Sox, three games in Minute Maid Park.Marlins, three games in Minute Maid Park.Mariners, three games in Minute Maid Park.Guardians, three games in Minutes Maid Park.
First, let’s look at Houston’s schedule from now (May 23) through June 20. Instead, I want to illustrate how the Astros have a prime opportunity to generate more separation and pad their one-and-a-half game lead over the Angels since it appears that they aren’t going away anytime soon. After all, I expect some regression to hit them.sooner or later. I write all of this not to pump the Angels more than I ought to. Not likely based on what we know today, but there is a possibility. If certain things break right for them - and not for Houston - it isn’t outlandish to think Los Angeles could come away with the division title. The pitching staff is solid and has made strides over the last season. Their offense is the best in baseball if you judge it by wRC+. Plus, the Angels have a look - and feel - of a team ready to take advantage of the expanded postseason field. The 2016 Astros, for example, had the look of a team ready to contend, but let a downright awful April spoil their season. To be clear, I am not expecting a collapse by the Astros in 2022, but sometimes even the best-laid plans don’t go according to plan. But I am confident that Houston has a higher probability than most of winning the division, as evidenced by their 81.2 percent chance per FanGraphs.īut there is a reason why they play the games and do not entirely rely on the projections. But, I’d rather err on the side of caution as I’ve seen enough late-season collapses across the sport to ever truly become too comfortable. Of course, we’re only now in late May, and it remains a bit early to make any definitive claims. Only one-and-a-half games separate the two clubs, who arguably have the best talent within the division on their respective rosters. Thus far in 2022, the AL West appears to be a two-team race between the Astros and Angels.
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